What’s going on with Iran? – VisualPolitik EN

What’s going on with Iran? – VisualPolitik EN


New York City. The afternoon of January 7th, 2020. Breaking news: about two dozen ballistic missiles
hit United States facilities in Iraq. More specifically, the targets were military
bases in Western Iraq where hundreds of American soldiers are deployed. This was the escalation of the latest tension
between Iran and the United States that had erupted on January 3rd. On that day, the US army launched a deadly
strike against a convoy that was leaving Baghdad Airport. Travelling in that convoy were two leading
figures of Middle Eastern geopolitics. The first was Qasem Soleimani, the commander
of the Quds Force, a special operations group within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. He was one of the most important leaders of
the Iranian theocracy. Next to him there was Aby Mahdi al-Muhandis,
chief of Kata’ib Hezbollah or Hezbollah Brigades, an Iraqi militia founded in 2003
in order to fight US troops deployed in the country. According to the Pentagon, this deadly strike
was carried out according to orders given by Donald Trump himself, the President of
the United States. Now the question is… who was Qasem Soleimani? What does his loss mean to Middle Eastern
politics? Why did Trump decide to end his life? Why and how is Iran reacting to this? And the most important question of all… What could happen next? Are we about to witness a war between The
United States and Iran? Let’s take a look. (INTRO)
First of all, Soleimani was not a random person but one of the main characters in Iranian
politics. From the perspective of the West, we could
say he is the Joker, the Darth Vader and the Hans Landa of international politics: a world
class villain. Yes, my dear viewers, Qasem Soleimani was
the most important military leader in Iran and, perhaps, the second most powerful leader
in the country, only surpassed by the supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. As we’ve discussed before here on VisualPolitik,
Iran is one of the US’s arch enemies. So, you can imagine the magnitude of this
man. But, in order to understand who Mr. Soleimani
really was, we have to understand how the Iranian army actually works. Unlike most countries, Iran does not have
one army but two. Yes: two different armies that work completely
independently of each other. On one hand we have a regular army, that has
more than 350,000 soldiers. According to article 143 of the Iranian Constitution,
this army has the classic tasks every army has: protecting the land, the borders, securing
infrastructure and so on… But then we have this other army, the so-called,
Islamic Revolutionary Guard. This army was created in 1979, right after
the revolution started by Ayatollah Khomeini. It’s main task is to defend the ideological
principles of the revolution. So why would they need such a thing? Well, think about it. After the revolution, Khomeini was afraid
of a coup d’etat rising from the traditional army that had always been loyal to the Shah
of Persia prior to the revolution. So, in order to quash any would-be coup, he
created his own guard. But if you thought this was just a small troop
of elite bodyguards protecting religious leaders,… you’d better think again. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard has around
150,000 troops and they have far superior training and weaponry than the regular army. But hold on just a second because that is
not all! These troops don’t answer to the government
but are under the exclusive command of the supreme leader. In other words, Hassan Rouhani, the Iranian
president, has no power over them. Only the Ayatollah Khamenei does. Having said that, within this Islamic Revolutionary
Guard there is another corps with greater autonomy and those are the Quds Force. The Quds Force are something similar to a
cross between the CIA and the Special Forces in the US. This means that they are elite troops and
an intelligence agency at the same time. They carry out all foreign operations. In other words, the best trained soldiers
and the smartest spies from throughout Iran belong to this group. The Quds Force are in charge of expanding
Iran’s influence abroad. These, my dear viewers, were the troops led
by Mr. Soleimani. This is why we say that this man was the architect
of Iran’s sphere of influence in the Middle East. And lately Iran has been gaining a huge sway
on the region. Over time, this man came to be in charge of
all Iranian regional policy. Add to this his intelligence network and his
closeness to the supreme leader and you can understand why Soleimani was far more important
to Iranian politics than the president himself. Want to see an example of this? What do you think Khamenei called him? General? Commander-in-chief? His official title translates to ‘living
martyr of the revolution’. And the truth is… when it came to expanding
Iran’s influence and causing problems for American troops, Soleimani knew his stuff. Just have a look at how some high-ranking
men in Washington describe him: (AUDIO: For two decades, Soleimani has been
the most powerful, savvy & effective terrorist on the planet. He’s enjoyed full backing of powerful terrorist
state. Irreplaceable. Mark Dubowitz, chief executive of Foundation
for Defense of Democracies) As the Quds Force leader, Soleimani crafted
a multinational network that has become a headache for both the US and Israel. After the Iraq invasion of 2003, the Quds
Force trained and gave weapons to militias that hit US targets. For example, they trained small militias in
the use of sophisticated explosives that perforate the shields on the armoured vehicles used
by US troops. These kinds of explosives caused hundreds
of US soldiers to lose their lives. Those militias now have thousands of troops
who are fighting for total control of Iraq. And the same goes for Afghanistan. There, Iranian troops gave training, weapons
and even direct support to the Taliban so they could fight the international forces
led by the United States. But if you’re not impressed by Mr. Soleimani’s
track record, hold on just a second because there is more. In 2006, his support to Hezbollah, a pro-Iranian
terrorist group in Lebanon, brought about the first retreat of the Israeli army. Later on, in Syria, his support to the Al
Assad regime was crucial for enabling the dictator to keep his power. But it doesn’t end there! In Yemen, pro-Iranian militias have managed
to hold their own against the almighty Saudi Army. The same goes for the Gaza strip, where the
Quds Force is playing a key role in helping Hamas. Still not surprised? Well… look at operations like this one:
(AUDIO: 09/14/2019 Two Major Saudi Oil Installations Hit by Drone Strike, and U.S. Blames Iran. NYT)
(AUDIO: 07/20/2019 Iran seizes British tanker in Strait of Hormuz. BBC) In a nutshell, Soleimani’s loss has been
a huge blow to the Ayatollah regime. The American drone not only killed a key Iranian
figure: it also brought massive humiliation to the whole regime. Because, let’s be honest here: if a US drone
can take out the leader of your best elite troop… a lot of people will stop being afraid
of Iran. (AUDIO: It is impossible to overstate the
importance of this particular action. It is more significant than the killing of
Osama bin Laden or even the death of Islamic State leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Gen. David Petraeus, former commander of U.S.
forces in Iraq and Afghanistan and a former CIA director)
So, OK, I know what you are probably thinking now… that this is a great achievement for
the US, right? Well, yes, in a way that’s correct. But, on the other hand, it also comes with
a huge risk. Killing this man would not come without retaliation. This brings us to the next question… Why did Trump decide to carry out this attack? Why did he want to unleash such a political
and diplomatic crisis at this point in time? Let’s take a closer look. (THE KEYS BEHIND TRUMP’S DECISION) Let’s be clear here: Washington always hated
this guy and wanted to kill him. No matter if we talk about Trump, Obama or
even Bush… all of them had Soleimani on their hit lists. But until now, nobody has wanted to risk so
much just for him. So why did Trump want to then? I know what you might be thinking now… Good old Don doing his thing, right? Trump just got crazy and said… ‘whatever, let’s go and kill him!’. Of course not! In fact, there are three reasons that explain
why Trump acted. The first one is the Iraqi situation. Iraq has never been stable but now it’s
getting even worse. For several months, there has been a massive
fight between pro-Iranian and anti-Iranian supporters. So Iran is pushing their efforts to control
the region. This is why the militias trained by Iran have
been harassing any opposing forces, including US troops. They just want every US soldier to leave the
country. This explains the many attacks on US military
bases and the attempted assault of the US embassy. (Thousands of protesters attack the American
Embassy in Baghdad shouting ‘Death to USA’ – EL MUNDO)
It seemed that Soleimani had gone to Baghdad to coordinate massive attacks against US military
presence there and to take over the Iraqi political institutions. But hold on just a second because there is
a second reason. And this is related to this year… 2020, the year of the US Presidential elections! And what would be better for Trump than taking
out one of their arch enemies? Add to this the fact the Trump needs to divert
attention from the impeachment process and his lack of achievements on foreign policy. A victory in the Middle East would be a god-send
for his campaign. And, yet, there is a third reason. You see, ever since Trump came to the White
House, he has increased pressure on Iran. His goal is to put the Ayatollah regime against
the wall and, hopefully, spark a change of regime. This explains breaking the nuclear deal and
the nuclear sanctions against the country. So far, neither of these has worked so he
had to take a further step. Besides, with this operation, The United States
scares off their opponents because they flexed their muscle in the region. But the question… the real question now
is… What is going to happen next? Are we really about to start a war with the
Middle East? Let’s see. (REVENGE) Iran has sworn they will retaliate and we
could say the regime is in shock. (AUDIO: “A Severe Revenge awaits the criminals
who have stained their hands with his and the other martyrs’ blood last night. Martyr Soleimani is an Intl figure of Resistance
and all such people will seek revenge.” Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei)
(“There is no doubt that the great nation of Iran and the other free nations of the
region will take revenge for this gruesome crime from criminal America,” Hassan Rouhani,
President of Iran) The first retaliation was launching at least
two dozen ballistic missiles against two US military bases: ARBIL and AL-ASAD. Now the question is… does this mean that
the Ayatollahs are willing to start a war against the United States empire? Of course we cannot predict what is in Khamenei’s
head. But, from a strictly rational point of view,
it makes absolutely no sense. Revenge is one thing and suicide is another. And we are not just talking about military
capability here. Think about it: anyone could predict that
Iran would avenge their dead general. It was a fact. The regime needed to respond to the US strike. The question is how? (AUDIO: “The Islamic Republic of Iran refuses
to take any emotional and hasty action. We will set up a plan, patiently, to respond
to this terrorist act in a crushing and powerful manner. We are the ones who set the time and place
of our reciprocal response.” Brig. Gen. Abolfazl Shekarchi, a spokesman for the
armed forces) Sure, they have sent more than two dozen ballistic
missiles and they have set off alarm bells around the globe. But… was it as big a deal as it seemed? At the time of making this video, the Iranian
missiles had struck two second-tier US facilities and no Americans had been killed. This means that the Islamic Revolutionary
Guard chose two minor targets to save face, as a show of power inside of Iran and to create
chaos within neighboring Iraq. At the same time, they have reduced the risk
of a counter retaliation from the United States. In other words: they are increasing the tension
for a moment in order to reduce it later on. Does this mean this escalation has stopped? Of course not! Especially, not in Iran. You see, Iran is famous for fighting without
declaring war. They won’t send uniformed men, no tanks
or combat jets as you could expect in a traditional war. The ultimate Iranian speciality is what we
call ‘asymmetric warfare’. This means: informal attacks carried out by
groups that, although supported by Iran, are not Iran. In fact, these kind of strategies were Soleimani’s
speciality. This is something that the Ayatollah regime
has been doing forever. For example, in 1983, Hezbollah bombed a Marine
Corps quarter in Lebanon, causing more than 200 deaths. The same happened when Hezbollah attacked
the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires and the biggest Jewish center in Argentina in 1992. And we don’t even have to go back so far
in time! The Iraqi militias that have been fighting
US soldiers in Iraq caused more than 600 deaths. And let’s not even mention Afghanistan. During 2019, pro-Iranian groups hit a US drone
and harassed oil tankers on the Strait of Hormuz. Also the Houthi Rebels attacked two of the
most important Saudi oil facilities. This is straight from the playbook of the
Quds Force and we can expect more of this in the future. (AUDIO: It’s a huge threat. The fact that we have F-16s and F-35s is not
relevant to this problem.” retired Brig. Gen. Yossi Kuperwasser, former chief of the
research division at the Israeli Defense Force’s Military Intelligence branch.) And it is hard to imagine a different scenario
even if the Islamic Revolutionary Guard did dare to launch those ballistic missiles. Basically, they couldn’t do anything else
because they have no better weapons for it. Here are some examples: the most powerful
tank Iran has is the Russian T-72, that started operating in the 70s. And this is the most powerful, because they
still use tanks from the Vietnam or even the Korean war. The air fleet is even older. Of course, it all depends on what the United
States does. But the truth is that the US wouldn’t be
interested in invading Iran either. We are talking about a huge country, with
hundreds of thousands of soldiers ready for battle and a high-end anti-air system. Despite the fact that they only have short
and medium-range missiles and, therefore, couldn’t attack US soil, they could cause
significant damage to US allies like Israel, Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates. So, unless there is a big surprise, all we
can expect is a lot of tension and a lot of asymmetric warfare. But now it’s your turn. What do you think it is going to happen? Do you think, despite all our reasoning, there
will be a war between the United States and Iran? Please, leave your answer in the comments
section below. Also don’t forget to check out RECONSIDER
MEDIA.COM, the podcast that provided the voices on this episode that are not mine. Also remember that we publish brand new videos
every week so subscribe to this channel and hit that bell button so you won’t miss any
post. If you liked this video, give us a thumbs
up and, as always, I’ll see you next time.

100 Replies to “What’s going on with Iran? – VisualPolitik EN”

  1. Imagine following scenario:
    Pakistan, Iran's neighbor has strategic ties with it..it secretly moves Chinese made nuclear tipped missiles to Iran's Western borders, keeps them under it's command and control.
    It changes the whole game 360 degrees. Israel, US with it's bases, will turn from cockey posture to wet pussey.
    It will help Chinese retain their energy supply lines intact. Japanese have already secured Aden Airport. Only India will be affected, hence, it serves two purpose of Pakistan, keeps India in check, regain leadership in ME region. US will soften it's stand against Pakistan.

  2. You assassinate the general, you didn't kill him on the battle field. What a shameful act of american. American call them selves the best military but act like a fool.hahaha

  3. Not a trump fan, but I knew they were more to this sand general been blown to a 1000 pieces. And I not concerned if they leave the Middle East in a glass creator.

  4. Firstly he was going for a peace negotiations..
    Deadly strike was a murder. https://thegrayzone.com/2020/01/06/soleimani-peace-mission-assassinated-trump-lie-imminent-attacks/
    https://www.globalresearch.ca/we-need-know-much-more-about-soleimani-assassination/5700188

    ""Soleimani was in Iraq on a diplomatic mission to discuss peace between Iran and Saudi Arabia – talks that had been requested by the Trump administration."

    Peace in the region is a big no no.

    the tank is not t72 its "T-90" " Karrar (كرار) is an Iranian main battle tank. The tank was announced on 12 March 2017. At the announcement, it was stated that it possessed an electro-optical fire control system, a laser rangefinder, ballistic computer and could fire at both stationary and mobile targets in day or night.[5]

    Despite its visual similarity to the T-90, Iran has rejected any alleged Russian collaboration in the project."

  5. it was a bold move by the US, but given the UN's constant appeasement (obviously as a result of the power of just one nation to veto), i don't miss this guy and i was surprisingly pleased by Trump's actions. Nice video, thanks for the education as this situation is very complicated.

  6. Well no shit, the Iranians do not want US troops next door as much as Russia does not want NATO to place troops in Ukraine…

  7. Lets face it nobody wants to go to war with Iran, they talk about it and show their biceps but at the end of the day its like a bodybuilding competition not a fight.

  8. You people are not looking at the bigger picture, if someone kick me out there house, and I refuse to leave, that is because I have no where to go, so I use excuses like "i am staying for the kids" in this case, "i am staying to fight Isis" well I should love Isis because of them I could stick around. My friend you have a serious problem that is y you refuse to leave my house. 🚓🚔🏃

  9. If your only gona use words spoken by americans as your reference then why not also show what general wesley clark said about taking out seven muslim countries including IRAN ?

  10. There was a hidden 4th reason! Guess what ? Will put the 4th reason in reply as I think its the real reason or the strategic reason

  11. Visual politics is good to learn about the USA liberal point of view. If you are looking for in-depth analysis, go to "This is hell" on Soundcloud. They invite (leftist) academics who are experts in their fields and have done real fieldresearch. No point of view can be neutral.

  12. And by terrorist state you surely mean the US here? "international forces lead by US" = "foreign invader stealing oil" REGIME YOURSELF

  13. We dont need jump cut editing dude, infact i think a lot of us would prefer to just watch you talk normally instead of constantly flicking between different amounts of zoom or what ever.

  14. you cannot call it a war as clearly if the states really wanted to they could wipe Iran off the map and not break a sweat, the Iranians will do more of their usual tricks of using other terrorist group to d their bidding. I think in some was Trump is itching to start a fight with Iran so we could see further strikes especially if an attack is made on Americans that can be traced back to Iran..

  15. You are fairly entertaining and interesting to learn new things about international affairs. However, I doubt what you say on all things. You are wrong about this and why Trump killed the terrorist. Impeachment is nothing. Americans don't care. He doesn't need to distract from that. The US should be targeting all Iranian personal, assets and allies that are outside Iran. They want to fight? Lets start that out then.

  16. I dought there will be a war,thay will do same,back stabbing,and undeclared war.I'm surprised you didn't mention the major factor in what Iran.It's that1.7 billon in cash dumb ass Obama out right gave Iran in untraceable monies.Thay useing that money take over Iraq's oil,and kill US troops.Thay were lucky that's all that happen.

  17. Trump did not dare to kill the Iranian General in the battlefield .
    That's why they killed him secretly in the dead of the night.
    in God we trust , but i am not sure if God trusts America anymore.
    America is being ripped apart in slow motion and it's policy is for sale for the highest bidding price.

  18. the rate of power in iran is like this dont do propaganda on this – 1- supreme leader 2- president – parliament chair man – law boss 3- vice president and miltary rate 1- supreme leader 2- the supreme leader of army- revolutionary guard the after these general like qasem soleimani . but the main issue about soleimani was he is the NUMBER ONE IN IRANIAN HEARTS thats it make him special among us. and we never forget this terror for centuries .

  19. When you said “why did trump decide to take his life” I got a little excited until I realized you were talking about Soleimani.

  20. man after your talk about Balkans then we all saw what little effort youa re puting in those videos and how you just talk and talk and spreading misinformation .. now aint different at all .. DISLIKE

  21. Completely biased piece. One should include all news as per chronology. Not supporting any side but unbiased news should be given out.

  22. US is not that strong. their army is politically correct. they have many female soldiers, Asians, and transmen…. Russia and Iran crush them all.

  23. Iran could start giving missiles to the Taliban and the Houthi might attack Saudi Oil installations again, if there were attacks on the tanker traffic the oil price would rise to crisis levels.

  24. Simon says!!!
    Trump broke the Nuclear deal,the treaty/agreement was never ratified by congress !!!

    Simon,Obama was not King….He did not have the power to make the agreement binding!

    Impeachment is a show,0% chance of success…:)

    Democrats can't beat Trump in 2020…

  25. Nothing is gonna to happen. Iran knows we MUST negotiate before any action. Secondly your assuming that the attack on American ships is connected. Then there's the fact millions and millions of Iranians live here and have a say. You've been wrong before eg EG Chernobyl

  26. USA sees Iran as the terrorist. The whole world sees America as the terrorist.
    Let’s not forget America funds terrorist groups like isis, taliban etc. USA funds these to fight against Iran, so USA has more control in the region meaning cheaper oil etc

  27. Bandar Abbas is on the North Shore of the Strait of Hormuz in Iran. It is separated from Tehran by 1000 miles of sand and poor roads. Most, if not all, of the Iranian Navy and Submarine force resides in Abbas. About 6-weeks ago the United States moved a big Marine landing force into the UAE. Should the USA decide to do so Iran would lose its most important military naval base in a single night and have no chance of regaining it.

    The Americans could choose to destroy everything in port and leave within 24-hours. That would be a humiliating defeat for the Iranians.

    That’s what I’d do.

  28. I think you are a half assed analyst. you injected your stupid opinion into the analysis. Trump does not need a victory of this type to win the election. you started with a disgusting cartoon which shows which side you are on. MAGA!!!!!! and fuck you

  29. USA attacks Iraq and Afghanistan.. two neighbors of Iran… and constantly threaten Iran…. Iran fights back…
    USA: surprised pikachu face ..

  30. You are misinformed about Iran’s most powerful tank being the 1970’s Russian T72. In 2017 Iran produced its main battle tank, Kerrar. It out performs tanks more modern than the T72. Kerrar has an electro-optical fire control system and could fire at both stationary and mobile targets in day or night. See below link:

    https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/how-does-irans-karrar-tank-compare-best-best-78741

  31. I thought u r impartial when u talk about international politics! It's very sad that u only talk from US perspective! Solaimani is the best anti-ISIS general u could probably think about! U didn't mention his role in defeating ISIS in anywhere of ur video! I just started regretting for the time I lost watching so many of ur videos! U r just an agent working blindly for some agenda or motives! Lie is always lie! If u have guts to expose truth, say something about Israel and its terrorist roles in middle east! End of the day ppl remember u for the truth u exposed rather the propaganda u spread! Stay on the side of victims! It makes ur work and efforts valuble and priceless! Almighty bless u!

  32. If Iran is able to shoot down a passenger plane I wonder what they can do with a nuclear vweapon. Do you think they vdeserve to have nukes?

  33. so this channel also supports the western media and the propoganda. us invasion on iraq doesnt feels like terrorism but when other countries tries to protect itself they are terrorist, right?

  34. I’m a 26 year old American electrician, the boys are ready, Trump just say when….🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸❤️🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

  35. Iran "Helping Taliban" wtf dude where did this one came from? this pleb is acting like he knows shitt but he doesnt.. USA is using Taliban as drug lords to run their fcking business and always saves their ass after their mess when ? every single time Taliban set up a terrorist attack in Afghanistan, USA decided to bring up "Peace talks with Taliban". Let be honest America the GREATEST military power in world cant fight bunch of bare feet mountain man? THEY DONT WANT TO!! THEY WANT THEM AROUND SO THEY CAN KEEP THEIR BASES AND RUN THEIR DRUG BUSINESS.

  36. Wait… al-assad..dictator? He was elected president in 2014.. that the west doesnt like him does not a dictator make. He is the only one in the region that keep the Christian population safe.

  37. America & Israel & Saudi Arabia are the three main terrorist governments of the world. Iran is the enemy of the terrorists.
    You are so biased.
    solaimani and his shia millitia defeated ISIS in IRAQ & SYRIA and many of them were killed fighting against ISIS.
    when ISIS invaded IRAQ, for three month the Iraqi government asked US to help them but they didn't!!! so the ISIS took control over many cities of IRAQ and killed many and got much more power. so they asked IRAN to help them & they came to help in 24 hours! and solaimani and his shia millitia defeated ISIS.
    the US base that the American contractor was killed there Is in a Soni province and is surrounded by ISIS not by shia militia.
    Solaimani was a HERO actually. Iraq & Iran are neighbor countries. what does America do in IRAQ when IRAQ wants them to go?

  38. As an iranian , I must say you are seeing situation very simple and infact your knowledge about iranian government and IRGC and relations between them and leader is in a poor situation 😢 I'm not the fan of those or Western counties but I must say the video information is not accurate and it's based on mainstream media not real accurate facts. But I liked your point of view and trying to be independent as you can

  39. Israel will be interested in this war than anybody else, so a near future war is a real possibility but at the Isralis own timing.

  40. It's funny how you visualize the " militia" in a silly mocking way.
    first, these are not "Militias" and they do not possess silly weapons… us google and search for Hizbollah you will know how powerful they are.
    plus you are illustrating that Iran is doing harm to the poor innocent us troops in the area
    question number 1: what the hell should be US troops in these areas?
    Stop seeing things in your perspective and search for the truth and be fair not blinded.

  41. 300 casualties in Al Asad Base, over 150 dead, many parents calling their children with no response, all lies from Trump and US, talking about tanks? Todays warfare tanks are useless, check the 2006 war Hezbollah and Israel, with their pride of the nation tank Merkava 4 Hezbollah shot the tanks down one after the other like pigeons. Sure USA have good weapons, but the army they are crybabies, this is not a Hollywood movie where USA exaggerate their capabilities compared to reality. USA is going down in the coming years, not only militarly, but also economically, with a 20$ Trillion GDP and a 60$ Trillion dept, the fall of the Roman empire.

  42. False flag attack is probably going to happen to the US. Then all of Nato will have to attack iran. Another option is they just use asymmetrical warfare untill iran can’t handle both their people and the western world attacking it. Then another civil war begins in the middle east

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